1world predicted better than any other entity in the country the Republican primary results in South Carolina; only 1World predicted Donald Trump would get 33% of the vote with Marco Rubio second and Ted Cruz third. The prediction and results, as published prior to the election, were as follows:
Trump 33% 33%
Rubio 20% 22%
Cruz 19% 22%
Kasich 12% 8%
Bush 10% 8%
Carson 6% 7%
1World's research team, led by Chief Research Officer (and University of South Carolina Journalism Professor) Dr. Augie Grant, conducted an analysis that combined the results of 15 selected polls conducted among South Carolina voters since February 1st. The results from each poll were weighted to adjust for sample size and response rate. These results were then adjusted to account for individual candidate trends, projections of voter participation, and allocation of undecided voters. As a combination of weighted results that includes projections regarding undecided voters and short-term trends, the margin of error can't be determined; but, what you end up with is a simple, numerical projection of the final South Carolina vote count.
1World methodology includes spot polling on trending aspects of a campaign using its innovative digital intelligence platform, which includes tools for polling, surveying, quizzes, debates, and analytics. In this primary race, 1World introduces "1PoP," a new Poll of Polls methodology. Weighted adjustment and spot polling are also used as needed. The next 1World prediction is scheduled for the South Carolina Democratic primary election on February 27th.